An introduction to the analysis of economic indicators and economic policy

That focus can change over time and from one currency to another. The more the entrepreneur sees the signs in advance, the more he is able to prepare himself. For the Government For the government, its role is to try to maintain a balance of power by keeping a reasonable level of taxes and duties, a minimum rate of inflation, moderate interest rates, an acceptable exchange rate, a rate of not too high unemployment and maintain GDP growth.

You might have a great handle on economic data published in the U. History has shown strong correlations between economic growthas measured by GDP, and corporate profit growth.

The CPI also includes various user fees and taxes directly associated with the prices of specific goods and services. What are the most important indicators? Coincident indicators, which include such things as GDP, employment levels and retail sales, are seen with the occurrence of specific economic activities.

Housing Starts Measures the number of residential units on which construction is begun each month. These upward pressures are helping to reduce consumer spending and corporate profits.

For example, if prices inflation are not a crucial issue for a given country, but its economic growth is problematic, traders may pay less attention to inflation data and focus on employment data or GDP reports. In each phase, economic indicators behave differently. Not All Economic Indicators can Move Markets The market may pay attention to different indicators under different conditions.

Analysis of Economic Indicators in Business

Economic indicators divide into leading and lagging indicators: Doing your homework before trading any currency can help you make better decisions.

Forward-thinking managers see downturns and economic downturns and are already planning recovery.

The PPIs most often used for economic analysis are those for finished goods, intermediate goods, and crude goods. An Example of Economic Indicators Economic indicators are often combined to produce a composite view of economic performance.

Retail sales include durable and nondurable merchandise sold, and services and excise taxes incidental to the sale of merchandise.

Prices include prices for oil, metals, and raw materials, products of companies, houses and currency. The index includes data on new orders, production, supplier delivery times, backlogs, inventories, prices, employment, export and import orders.

Food and energy data tend to be much too volatile and subject to revisions to provide an accurate reading on producer price changes. For example, GDP is the ultimate result of all economic indicators including, among others, consumer spending, interest rates, the inflation rate, the exchange rate.

With so many people poised to react to the same information, economic indicators have tremendous potential to generate volume and move prices.

And of course, these decreases increase the unemployment rate. For each stakeholder, there are specific economic indicators.

Forex Fundamentals

If a given report differs widely and unexpectedly from what economists and market pundits were anticipating, market volatility and potential trading opportunities may result.

On the other hand, a price increase will produce an increase in the rate of inflation and a decrease in consumer spending. This information is provided by different sources: Mark Your Economic Calendars Watching the economic calendar not only helps you consider trades around these events, it helps explain otherwise unanticipated price actions during those periods.

Problems With Economic Indicators An economic indicator is only useful if one interprets it correctly. Economic Indicators in Business For the Consumer For the consumer, the economic indicators that affect his behavior are illustrated in the following model: Lagging indicators are economic factors that change AFTER the economy has already begun to follow a particular trend.

Economic Indicators What are Economic Indicators?Economic Policy Analysis: Lecture 1 Introduction: A Framework for Economic Policy Analysis Camille Landais Stanford University January 3, Meet and Greet economics (Macro, development, labor, or corporate nance questions often ultimately motivated by a public economics.

Economic Indicators: a Currency's Vital Signs. Traders can measure the economic health of a given country (and its currency) through its economic indicators - but, just like a doctor monitoring a patient's vital signs, not all stats count equally.

Here's a primer of the key economic indicators that often impact currency traders. Analysis of Economic Indicators in Business December 17, by zkjadoon An economic indicator is a sign, index, or measure of an event that can affect consumers, businesses, and governments.

An economic indicator is a piece of economic data, usually of macroeconomic scale. Economic indicators can have a huge impact on the market; therefore, knowing how to interpret and analyze them is.

Real-time coverage of the global economy, including in-depth analysis of more than economic indicators, topics and long-term trends, plus macro forecasts and outlooks.

Economic Indicator

These indicators are important instruments for the formulation of economic policy at the national level and for use by international organisations such as the OECD, IMF, Eurostat and the European Central Bank (ECB).

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An introduction to the analysis of economic indicators and economic policy
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